Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.003811 3.331786 3.686466 4.099474 4.568364 5.085507 5.700889
2025-04-27 2.566842 3.015269 3.534365 4.183385 4.978255 5.926583 7.153428
2025-05-04 2.290400 2.806109 3.433930 4.262170 5.337491 6.702142 8.590417
2025-05-11 2.079297 2.634097 3.337307 4.306398 5.626729 7.391538 9.978343
2025-05-18 1.911417 2.490501 3.249988 4.336546 5.880224 8.040087 11.373712
2025-05-25 1.722808 2.296852 3.071112 4.213698 5.894959 8.340377 12.286373
2025-06-01 1.588819 2.163079 2.957789 4.164732 5.999958 8.769068 13.431935
2025-06-08 1.480817 2.055011 2.868588 4.137470 6.126944 9.234537 14.684921
2025-06-15 1.433740 2.029210 2.893709 4.279827 6.524212 10.161143 16.825364
2025-06-22 1.350856 1.943475 2.821511 4.262524 6.660501 10.670757 18.303940
2025-06-29 1.270561 1.855343 2.737971 4.217820 6.743486 11.093286 19.675144
2025-07-06 1.159738 1.712971 2.559988 4.003852 6.517188 10.946918 19.938843
2025-07-13 1.105676 1.657057 2.516774 4.013817 6.687041 11.542580 21.775167
2025-07-20 1.070635 1.628847 2.515825 4.095035 6.991635 12.423669 24.340963
2025-07-27 1.037451 1.601105 2.513046 4.171742 7.294198 13.335468 27.127286
2025-08-03 1.000674 1.564825 2.492920 4.214841 7.536122 14.154367 29.848849
2025-08-10 0.964378 1.526876 2.466933 4.244229 7.752946 14.946250 32.648416
2025-08-17 0.906131 1.448295 2.365346 4.124460 7.660314 15.071588 33.849945
2025-08-24 0.863987 1.394902 2.304534 4.076717 7.708503 15.505811 35.902754
2025-08-31 0.828161 1.350455 2.256799 4.050135 7.797367 16.039991 38.314876
2025-09-07 0.818949 1.352132 2.292238 4.188933 8.250714 17.465683 43.434653
2025-09-14 0.788261 1.313766 2.251615 4.172064 8.363032 18.101232 46.460128
2025-09-21 0.755964 1.270811 2.199872 4.128479 8.411265 18.586696 49.146108